Friday, November 7, 2008

Spin Us For Tonight's NewsNight Akron

Tonight's NewsNight Akron show on PBS 45/49 (that's Western Reserve Public Media for those of you paying attention to the latest news releases, otherwise it's still channel 45 or 49) is an hour long with plenty of bloviating on last Tuesday's results.


It's Eric standing guard as anchor and likely playing referee as Jody Miller, Steve Hoffman and I bat around the election results that are and the races that were.


Here's some of what I expect will be the highlights -- or lowlights, take your pick:

- Issue 8's failure. We'll probably spend quite a bit of time on Mayor Plusquellic's outburst that his opponents deserve a "special place in hell" for misleading the voters. I expect that'll be Steve's take, since Plusquellic mentioned Steve by name as his justification for wishing the powers of Hell take those who dared to question his Akron Scholarship Plan. My take: put some ice on the bruised ego and work with instead of against people for a change. They agreed all along a scholarship plan was worth pursuing, they just didn't like all the strings attached and flushing public control over the sewer system to pay for it. Even the most successful quarterbacks need to pick themselves up off the field and try for the end zone again. If this issue truly was about building a scholarship plan, there should be plenty of room under the tent as long as winning the game is a team effort;


- Republicans took a kicking in most of the legislative and executive races they were looking to win; the Moran-Nero race was closest thanks to that district spreading out to make up one of two truly balanced seats by partisan label in the county. I suspect we'll also have some thoughts on just how Al Brubaker proved the third time was the charm in beating Greg Bachman -- or did Bachman beat himself in the County Engineer's race?


- There is a flip side to the GOP licking on page one; when it came to page two of the ballot they were clearly the victors in securing control of Summit County courts, with gains in Common Pleas court to give them control over the judiciary and the patronage jobs that come with it. The feature race will likely be the down-to-the-late-wire race between Probate Court incumbent Judge Bill Spicer and Common Pleas Judge Elinor Stormer. For what it was worth (and based on hundreds of thousands spent on these races for judge, it's worth much to both parties) Spicer can thank the election night counting gods for keeping Cuyahoga Falls and other northern districts late to the count because northern Summit really pulled his keister out of the fire;


- Alex Arshinkoff's in the crosshairs again as State Senator Kevin Coughlin was quick to call the 2008 General Election a failure. I'm sure Jody will agree and maybe Steve and Eric, too. Given the weighting of the Moran-Nero district it was perhaps the most competitive head-to-head race and they may have a point there, but Arshinkoff's support of the judicial ticket clearly was a win for him. I'd also note Coughlin and the New Summit Republicans (now the Dump Alex Anyway Party) were pretty scarce in terms of public money and bodies making calls at phone banks. They'll argue they see no reason to help Arshinkoff...he'll argue they're letting their hatred of him get in the way of constructively helping candidates on the ballot. How did Summit stand up compared to Stark? Lake? Geauga? Portage? Medina? How realistic can you expect the local party to impact the race when you start out the day 100-thousand votes behind?


- With all the talk on the huge turnout, the early voting proved to be the big winner even though the actual number of ballots cast statewide was actually lower than when Bush beat Kerry in 2004. From a political wonk point of view, the real change right off the bat isn't what we're being sold from Washington but how the marketing of ideas and candidates changed with vote blocs able to steamroll the results with the first pass of absentee counts. It fundamentally changes of the rules; Obama took local Democrats with him into the 21st century of campaign tactics, and it'll be interesting to see if Republicans can learn from the whuppin' in forcing their own change in two years with an electorate demographic (young people) not necessarily known for brand loyalty. Generations still revere FDR; a generation put JFK into sainthood and another generation fueled the Reagan Revolution. Will Obama's power extend to those levels?


On tonight's show, I think a nice addition: Kyle Kutuchief and Ben Keeler (those blog guys on Ohio.com and elsewhere -- they're in my blogroll on this page) will join us for their own take. Kyle bleeds blue, Ben still loves Red (with the exception of Alex) and it should be lively. Nice to see NNA get with the times and expand the voices to include those relatively new to the game but the future of it.


We tape at 6:15p; feel free to shoot me your thoughts eesposito@rcrg.net this afternoon and I'll try to work them in, even if I think they're crazy. After all, I'm not the one who thinks there's a special place in hell reserved for people who disagree with me.

20 comments:

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    ReplyDelete
  2. Ed,
    Please!! How can you describe this as anything BUT a TOTAL Failure for Alex?? You claim that Alex's judicial victories were a success for him. But were they? Sources tell me that Alex supported only two candidates financially...Bill Spicer and Tom Parker. Sure they won, but what about the other candidates he recruited? McCarty received no money, Callahan received no money. Laria, who was touted to be the premier race was left out in the cold along with the rest of the partisan ticket. He didn't even try to assist these candidates.

    Getting back to judicial. How can you describe these victories as anything but a wash? Sure McCarty and Callahan won, but with a democratic governor, the Akron Muni Court will surely fall back into Democratic hands.

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  3. It shouldn't surprise me that those red-hot flashes keep folks from seeing a basic. Just for giggles: how did GOP candidates do overall across the rest of NE Ohio? From my view the Summit GOP spending plenty of dough and effort on the countywide judicial races paid off -- they control the common pleas bench for whatever that's worth. In the meantime there was no way a Republican was making it out of Tuesday in good standing (state supreme court candidates notwithstanding); McCain didn't even carry Lake County (lost it by 345 votes), barely won one of two Commissioner slots up for grabs. In Stark County (home of Timken backing and what the NY Times considered the microcosm of America four years ago) Boccieri roughed up Schuring by nearly 15 points and both county commissioner seats went Democrat without breaking much of a sweat. If it weren't for Snitchler and an unopposed Oelslager the Ohio House would be bluer.

    No problem ripping Alex when he's got it coming -- but putting any red in play when the blue tide hit isn't just business as usual. Even your devil gets his due...

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  4. The problem with your lauding of Alex in the judicial races is that none of the judges ran as Republicans. While these individuals will get up and applaud Alex, none would have wanted him in their print advertising or television spots. These are people who tried their best not to be identified as Republicans. Simply, it was not a win for Alex or the judicial candidates, but a story of survival in not having to run as a Republican. That is not a solid foundation for building an argument for success in this campaign cycle.

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  5. So let me see if I follow you...you would rather have judges running as partisan? Judge Stormer did that (at least with her lawn signs...others caught up when they saw the Blue Tide coming) but Spicer still won. If losing as a Republican is more important to you than winning as a candidate without overt partisan ties then I guess you would be wildly happy with these election results. My sense is that with the exception of GOP-crazy Medina County, my dog would have won as a Democrat (and she's not even registered -- at least with the Board of Elections) just as in 1984 when you got a bump for being a Reagan Republican as a down ticket candidate.

    The complex goal in politics is to express ideas voters can stand behind as relevant and worth supporting, but ultimately the simple goal in politics is to win the race.

    Running as a Republican in 2008 was a great way to lose, especially here in Summit County. The County Engineer's race is a prime example: Brubaker ran as a Democrat, Bachman ran as a seasoned pro without challenging Brubaker -- and the results Tuesday night were no surprise.

    As to building the GOP? Bash Alex as much as you wish, he was one of the lone voices putting his GOP stripes on the line and looking to win races. When it came to the other party leaders it is pretty obvious they didn't put much heavy lifting into the effort via very public phone banks or GOTV efforts. It was the usual GOP strongholds that saved Spicer's job in Probate -- the same strongholds that didn't get the push done for Nero or Cole.

    The GOP has much to learn from the Democrats on how they won this year and it starts with the Al Davis philosophy: Just win, baby.

    Political philosphy is great if you want to spend your career teaching or delivering commentary in blogs and broadcast (thank goodness) but playing to win is what gets you in office. Think the GOP judges could have done that by slathering Republican on the foreheads with the money Arshinkoff spent on their campaigns?

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  6. Why help Alex when he will pin the losses on his opponents and claim the victories to himself. By the way ask Nero how much support he got from Alex. Here is a hint
    $150. Yep, what leadership. All Alex has now is nostalgia. Nostalgia for the times with Ray Bliss, nostalgia as a strong fundraiser, nostalgia as a winner. He has no plans for the future, raises little of what he says-$300,000 is not $1.9 million, and has not won a meaningful competitive countywide race in years. In addition, if he put so much into the judicial race that he did win, why not in races where candidates have an R next to their name? Alex can win can't he. Alex will tell you so.

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  7. Ed,

    Face the facts. Alex's money machine is drying up. Case in point... you keep referring to these Common Pleas seats. Only Tom Parker and Bill Spicer received money. Callahan, and McCarty were left out in the cold. Alex keeps claiming to raise wild amounnts of money and yet the Finance Reports never reveal anything close to that amount. Why do you never report on these blatant lies?

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  8. In their first big test as an organization, the new summit republicans failed big time. They actively recruited and supported Richard Nero in a district that leans republican. I don't want to hear nonsense about it being a democratic year either, because Gloria Rogers, who has lost more times than she won, defeated the democrat. Rogers district is virtually the same as Moran's.

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  9. Oh really A.R.? Nero recruited himself for that state representative run and no one else. You know why? He believed that the district deserved better. When it came time for a big fund raiser that YOU attended Alex you were point blank asked what you were doing to help Nero’s campaign with the help of John Kasich. After stumbling for about 5 minutes you finally made up something. As far as that big money maker you are $150.00 for Nero when you could have given up to $10,000.00? Now that is a head scratcher. Or is it because Nero did not like some God Father pulling his strings? Word has it from Columbus that you pulled some strings down there to keep money from coming his way.
    Ed you should know this. By law there is only so much the New Summits can do as an organization. If they come out trying to do massive campaigning and any of it could even possibly be considered like a Republican Party in Summit County Alex would sue in a split second and try to shut them down. If anything Alex should be raked over the coals. Why? He has always taken credit for winning the Presidency why did he not take credit and blame for the loss? HE also lost the open Attorney Generals seat, 2 State Representative seats, a Judgeship, and a County Council race. What did he win? About all of his incumbent Judgeships, a new Judgeship (Zero gain) and re won the County Council seat (Zero Gain too). The last two with people who don’t know what they are doing.
    Alas the Great Alex? He is no more.

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  10. It was a great time at the taping Ed. I didnt even know what Plusquellic had said (the "hell" stuff") until I saw the show run that night. Your discussion made a lot more sense then.

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  11. The last anon. post: what? NSR couldn't do more because Alex might sue them as a political party? Makes no sense...under that guise the Timken's shouldn't be active in Stark County, or ACORN couldn't work to support the Obama campaign, or unions/church groups/student organizations couldn't organize volunteers for phone banks and door to door campaigning. Please, come up with something that actually has a ring to it. "Only so much they can do..." sounds like an excuse to do nothing.

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  12. Ed,

    Timken is not attempting to take over the Stark County Republican Party. Timken is a prominent player working with the Ohio Republican Party and Stark County in raising money. Real money! Not pledges or committments. Unlike Alex money, this is actual money that shows up in the party finance reports. ACORN is not activley seeking to take over the Democratic Party. ACORN, no matter how suspect, has been active in registering voters for the campaign. Contrast your examples with what is transpiring. Alex is the head of the Summit County Republican Party and it is HIS responsibility alone to bring the players together. His actions dictate the tone of the debate. If he cannot bring the players together, then Alex is not effectively doing his job. As has been publicly stated, what has transpired is the first round in a twelve round heavyweight fight.

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  13. "HIS responsibility alone" to bring people together? Hmmm...still doesn't answer the core question on what's holding his critics back from doing their own heavy lifting. My point: ACORN does it, ward bosses understand how it works, unions and fundamentalist groups figured out how to mobilize. If the critics can do the job better why aren't they? I'm certainly not saying Alex is the answer...but he's not the only problem if
    Republicans want to win again. Take a clue from what Democrats did in 2008 with the lessons learned from losing in 2004 and 2000; heavy lifting matters when it comes to the tactics of winning as opposed to strategies of whining.

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  14. Would Greg Bachman have thanked the NSRs for their help? Would Mary Stormer? Jim Laria? No. If they would have won, they would have gone directly to thanking Alex. He is the party chair. He runs the show. He gets the credit for victory and the blame for defeat. From your perspective, what does a party chair do? The NSRs are pests to his control because he has gotten away with avoiding any criticism for losses,strategic errors, personal issues, and his fantasy world fundraising.

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  15. You need to warned Ed, under the NSR way of thinking, since you do not agree with them......YOU ARE A LACKEY FOR ARSHINKOFF!! HE CONTROLS YOUR EVERY THOUGHT!! HE IS ALL POWERFUL AND HIS WILL BE DONE! NOW GO AND DEFEND HIM AND DO HIS BIDDING MORE ED ESPOSITO!!

    If you don't agree with them, you are in alex's pocket, simple as that.

    See Ed, these people just don't get it, there are those of us who have no problem blaming Alex if he is responsible, but like true Republicans, we assign the blame that is due, when it is due, nothing else.

    Many of us also realize that this NSR bunch spout nothing but platitudes. Those in the know are aware Klinger does not and cannot raise money. She has not recruited candidates for even city council in Cuyahoga Falls, and when she does (one candidate in 2007), she expects the Mayor to fund the campaign out of HIS campaign account!


    If you talk to many of the judges that won this year (off the record), they will tell you how disgusted they were with Klinger's tactics of attending the Republican rallies and secretly taping their speeches.


    Now here is the best part of all of it: The NSR just do not have the political skills, (likeability), to pull this off. Their condescending attitude towards everyone who does not agree with them force more people to Alex's side.

    Even compared to Alex, this really isn't a likeable(?) bunch.

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  16. Nice try Alex. Claim that others do what you do. It will not work though. Your record of failure falls upon you and you still will not take the blame for the defeat, and that is a crying shame.
    If Klinger cannot raise money then why did she file finance reports? Are they false? Is she misleading people? If she did then why do you not have your friends at the Board of elections subpoena her at the next Board meeting and start riddling her with questions? Or as usual is there no truth in you? When she or anyone files their finance report at the board they file actual hard numbers, not made up ones. Like saying to a variety of people you’ll come up with 1.9 million, then it’s “Well I got Four hundred thousand but about a hundred thousand is debt that is owed to the bank, but that’s OK”. Speaking about not raising money looks like you cannot yourself.
    Alex, as with numbers how many is “many” of the judges that you are talking about? The way you prevaricate it could be 1 or 2, I would just love to see how many of that “many” hate your guts and would talk about it off the record as well.
    In the taping of conversations, I wonder who in your little group is taping things and others don’t know about it and it will be used against them? Boy will the troupes be surprised at that one. Just makes me wonder who else is expendable in your inner circle?

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  17. Ed,

    Despite your unmistakeable and unfortunate support for Arshinkoff, it is clear that Republicans as a whole are going to be demanding self-examination and reform of its leadership from top to bottom. Arshinkoff is totally emblematic of the problems the Republicans face: lack of transparency, inability to change with the times, antiquated strategies based on the past, and an inability to realize people don't care what Ray Bliss did in 1966 but rather they want actions that will make their lives better. The modus operandi of Arshinkoff is solely to maintain his privileges and personal income based on his lobbying and political contacts. He could care less if any Republicans win. I can personally attest that he had a deal in the works in late 2007 to ensure there were no contested races in 2008. Is this the role of a party chairman? Come on and take your head out of the sand!

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  18. So typical of the whining, behind the scenes anonymous posting...it just gets weary listening to the same old thing all the time. It might carry some weight without the constant anonymous from both sides but it just boils down to the kind of sniping where parents send both kids to their rooms -- and in case you haven't noticed, the voters are sending both sides of this tired old GOP pillow fight to the room.

    How'd the GOP do in surrounding counties? Republicans gained in the local courts whether you want to credit Arshinkoff or not. You want to blame him for races he didn't have a chance of winning but don't want to credit any effort his wing made when local Republicans do win.

    What's apparent by this thread (and the constant tone of comments by the Republicans on the outs in virtually every local blog) is that unless you figure out how to win without whining you won't get back to winning at all.

    As to contested races: it is the role of the party chair to solidify the races he or she knows they can win. In case you didn't notice, that's how both parties play the game on the national level and it led to the GOP taking back Congress in the 90s and Democrats taking it back in 2006. It worked in Columbus for a generation for the Republicans and unless the GOP takes your head out of the sand it'll be another generation before you get a sniff of controlling the statehouse again. You think it's the role of party bosses to field candidates for every race? Wrong. It's the job of the party boss to WIN the races they can win. In 2008 the odds of the GOP winning many races was pretty slim in 216 and 330.

    It's the attitude, man...why would anyone vote for you when you can't even put together your own forces to give Alex a run for the money? You cry you'd be sued for setting up your own efforts but the Democratic victory this month ought to give you a road map on how "independent" groups can certainly do their own thing and play the game with winning results. How come Progressive Democrats, ACORN and the 527's like MoveOn get it and you still hide behind the same tired argument?

    Read the posts: you want to beat Alex, do it by showing you know how to win. Whiners don't win elections -- hard work, smart strategy and campaigning does or didn't you get what just got shoved up the GOP's nostrils (being anatomically kind) November 4th?

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  19. Mr. Esposito,

    You comment about whining is a red-herring. This is about whether Arshinkoff should stay as chairman in Summit County. At the national and state levels, everyone acknowledges that the old guard leadership has to go. Period. You may think Arshinkoff deserves to stay but you and others like Steve Hoffman continue to serve up his political propoganda because it is so easily dispensed to you and doesn't require you to have to work to get answers that may be counter to your conventional wisdom. What's the status on those unreported loans to Arshinkoff? Where is the missing $1.3 million out of the $1.9 million 'raised' Arshinkoff claimed to gathered? When will the local media start doing some investigative reporting instead of running interference for this guy?!

    It's unfortunate that many Republicans, including me, are forced into the Democrat's arms because there exists no viable, transparent, and principled local Republican Party in Summit County.

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  20. There he goes again!! Alex accuses Kevin Coughlin of siding with the democrats, but his new buddy Tim Grendell was caught with his hand in the cookie jar.

    The details of it are posted here:

    http://politics.ohio.com/2008/11/24/welcome-back-to-columbus-senator-grendell/

    Democrats are licking their chops with Alex as chairman, and judging by the company he keeps, its pretty easy to see why.

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